Inside Prediction Markets Podcast By Prediction Market Gurus cover art

Inside Prediction Markets

Inside Prediction Markets

By: Prediction Market Gurus
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Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. 📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 📈 Market Deep Dives 🎙️ Expert Guests 🧠 Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.Prediction Market Gurus Economics Personal Finance
Episodes
  • How To Bet The Masters + Novig Is Giving Away 500K
    Apr 8 2026

    Novig is at The Masters — LIV golfers including Jon Rahm and Cam Smith are wearing the Novig patch, and the Blue Blazer Jackpot is live on the app. Enter once per day by trading on the tournament winner, and if your pick wins you share a $500K Novig Cash prize pool. One winner also takes home the first-ever Novig Blue Blazer delivered in person by a LIV player. Visit augusta.novig.com to track entries and find your angle.Then Chris and Henry break down the week's big three: a court ruling in favor of prediction markets over New Jersey's attempt to block sports contracts, the one platform that just introduced fees after years of zero-cost trading, and what that actually means for the space. Then Golden Pants himself — John Shilling of Risk Takers — joins in the Optic Odds Hot Seat to break down how to actually bet The Masters, from course characteristics and field analysis to how prediction markets have completely changed the golf betting lifecycle.📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 👇 Subscribe now.@insidepredictionmarkets [5:17 PM]OpticOdds is a global leader in sports betting data solutions, empowering sportsbooks, DFS, prediction markets and platform providers with the fastest, most reliable, and most comprehensive odds data and trading tools in the industry.Sign-up to join the Novig x OpticOdds incubator: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd6VQ-OEHRs7JpEs7-tURuy6WRP4WGRtlyBfByDkhgJ9KEbHw/viewformThis content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.Chapters:0:00 – Novig's $500K Blue Blazer Jackpot1:42 – Courts Rule in Favor of Prediction Markets Over New Jersey3:20 – A Major Platform Added Fees5:08 – Optic Odds: The Tech Stack Behind the Space7:29 – Introducing Golden Pants: John Schilling in the Hot Seat8:37 – What Makes Augusta Unlike Any Other Course22:43 – Golf Betting's Evolution in the Prediction Markets Era27:54 – Most Live Golf Volume Is Fake?31:32 – How Golden Pants Operates Across Every Sport35:25 – How His Trading Software Actually Works44:07 – What Should Change About Tick Size53:32 – Golden Pants' Most Expensive Mistake#predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting

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    58 mins
  • The NFL Just Put Prediction Markets on Notice: A Potential Victory For All?
    Apr 1 2026

    The NFL just asked prediction markets to stop listing easily manipulated outcomes — draft picks, announcer mentions, attendance markets — and Chris and Henry think it's actually a good thing. Then: DraftKings is quietly building an AI casino product nobody asked for, and Kalshi just filed to offer margin trading.

    All three stories before they sit down with Jake (@jbets212121), a former accountant who walked away from a stable career less than a year ago to go full time in prediction markets.Jake gets into how he built his operation from scratch — starting with paper hat work and live betting, pivoting to RFQs, and building out a fully functional quoting system in ten days with his developer partner. The conversation covers how he thinks about adverse selection, the top-down vs. origination debate, white labeling as a business model, maker vs. taker fee structures, and what it actually cost him to learn some of his biggest lessons — including a brutal opening day of baseball where flipped spreads and totals nearly wiped out everything he'd built.

    📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 👇 Subscribe now.

    @insidepredictionmarkets

    This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

    Chapters:

    0:00 – NFL Sets Boundaries on Prediction Markets

    2:48 – DraftKings Replay: The Product No One Asked For

    5:30 – Kalshi Applies for Margin Trading: What It Actually Means

    6:41 – Introducing Jake (@jbets212121)

    7:10 – How To Go From Accountant to Professional Gambler

    13:38 – Building a Quoting System in 10 Days

    18:20 – Top Down vs. Origination: The Crossroads Decision

    21:03 – Should Exchanges Stay Maker Friendly?

    28:48 – What If Straight Markets Traded via RFQ?

    33:47 – The Most Expensive Mistake He's Ever Made

    #predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting

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    38 mins
  • Arizona Just Filed Criminal Charges Against a Prediction Market
    Mar 25 2026

    A state just filed criminal charges against a prediction market for the first time in U.S. history — and that's just where this week starts. Chris and Henry break down Arizona's lawsuit, what it means legally, and why sportsbooks may be quietly pulling the strings. Then: the Polymarket Situation Room's rocky launch, the Schiff-Curtis bill to ban sports markets, AOC piling on, and why a $50 billion industry isn't going anywhere on vibes alone.Then the guys sit down with Egzee — one of the largest individual market makers in Prediction Markets and the most talked-about intern in prediction markets history. He breaks down how he got started flipping cards in MLB The Show, spotted the same mechanics on election night, and built it into a serious operation — plus the creator ID debate, the originating vs. top-down argument, and what it really takes to survive as competition heats up.📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 👇 Subscribe now.@insidepredictionmarkets This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.#predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting Chapters:0:00 – Arizona Sues a Prediction Market2:00 – The Polymarket Situation Room3:00 – The Bill That Could Kill Sports Betting on Prediction Markets9:05 - Egzee Joins the Show9:35 – How a Video Game Led to Making Generational Money11:50 – Egzee's BIG EDGE15:00 – Origination is Overrated18:25 – The Creator ID Debate23:30 – Are Sharp Takers Slowly Killing the Ecosystem?

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    38 mins
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