Six years after COVID reshaped media consumption, the TV industry is still adjusting to the changes that followed. In this episode, Kelly and Sean walk through how the balance between linear TV and streaming flipped, what has happened since, and what the data suggests for the year ahead.

They start by revisiting the inflection point during COVID, when streaming usage overtook cable for the first time. Since then, the gap has widened significantly, with most households now relying on streaming while traditional TV continues to decline.

The conversation then moves into how that shift has impacted content investment. Sean highlights how cable networks briefly increased spending on new shows during the early COVID period, before pulling back and relying more heavily on repeat programming. This change in content strategy has played a role in how audiences engage with TV today.

A major focus of the episode is live sports. As other types of programming decline, live sports have become a much larger share of linear TV revenue, now representing a significant portion of the ecosystem. Kelly and Sean discuss why sports remain one of the few formats that consistently bring viewers back to traditional TV.

They also examine advertiser behavior, including which categories are still investing in linear TV and which have reduced their spend. Restaurants, financial services, and certain retail-driven campaigns continue to rely on TV’s reach, while categories like pharmaceuticals are starting to pull back after years of heavy investment.

On the streaming side, the discussion turns to a less obvious trend: while streaming continues to grow, not all dollars leaving TV are being reinvested there. Sean explains how only a portion of linear TV spend is shifting into streaming, contributing to slower growth and signs of stabilization.
The episode closes with a look ahead to 2026, focusing on rising subscription costs, shifting consumer behavior, and the growing complexity of managing multiple streaming services. Kelly shares a practical example of how consumers are beginning to cycle through subscriptions rather than maintaining them year-round.

Key topics include:

• How COVID accelerated the shift from TV to streaming
• The current split between cable and streaming households
• Changes in content investment and reliance on repeat programming
• Why live sports are becoming central to linear TV
• Which advertiser categories are still investing in TV
• Why some categories are pulling back
• The relationship between TV ad spend and streaming growth
• Subscription pricing trends and consumer behavior
• Predictions for TV and streaming in 2026

Chapters
00:00 Six years after COVID and the shift in TV
00:56 Why TV is the focus this week
02:01 How streaming overtook cable
04:17 Changes in TV content investment
06:42 The growing role of live sports
08:59 Which advertisers still use TV
11:09 Categories reducing TV spend
12:37 Streaming growth and reinvestment gap
14:37 Predictions for 2026
16:58 Subscription fatigue and changing behavior
19:22 Final thoughts and wrap-up

If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.

If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.

And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.

Kelly and Sean break down Guideline’s new quarterly programmatic benchmark report, explain how DSPs fit into the media buying ecosystem, and share the latest trends in programmatic, CTV, and streaming.

Programmatic advertising plays a growing role in digital media buying, but it is still one of the more misunderstood parts of the industry. In this episode, Kelly and Sean use Guideline’s newly announced quarterly programmatic benchmark report as a starting point for a practical discussion on what programmatic actually is, how DSPs work, and what the latest benchmark data suggests about the market.

They begin by defining programmatic at a high level: automated buying and selling of digital media, often built around audience targeting, pricing efficiency, and near real-time optimization. From there, Sean explains why this episode focuses specifically on DSPs, or demand-side platforms, which are the tools buyers use to purchase programmatic inventory.

The conversation then turns to the benchmark findings. Sean shares that programmatic saw very strong growth through 2024, though the pace slowed through 2025 as the market matured and economic pressure weighed on ad spend. They discuss how much of that activity is tied to streaming and connected TV, and why the growth pattern looks different now that most large streaming platforms already offer ad-supported products.

They also look at category-level movement, with telecom, insurance, and quick-service restaurants increasing programmatic spend, while categories such as alcohol, toys, and games have pulled back. Kelly and Sean then walk through the current split between programmatic and direct buying, why programmatic has remained near 30% of market activity, and why Sean expects that share to move higher in 2026.

The episode closes with a closer look at buying methods inside the programmatic ecosystem, including private marketplaces, programmatic guaranteed, and the open marketplace, along with a request for listener feedback on where the programmatic series should go next.

Key topics include:

• What programmatic advertising means in practice
• How DSPs function in digital media buying
• Why Guideline launched a quarterly programmatic benchmark report
• Growth trends in programmatic across 2024 and 2025
• The link between programmatic growth and streaming / CTV
• Which advertiser categories are increasing or reducing spend
• The current split between programmatic and direct buying
• Private marketplaces, programmatic guaranteed, and open marketplace buying

Chapters

00:00 Spotify reviews and why the episode topic matters
00:50 Guideline’s new programmatic benchmark report
02:22 What programmatic advertising means
03:48 DSPs and how programmatic buying works
06:01 Global programmatic growth trends
08:40 Categories gaining and losing spend
11:05 Programmatic vs direct buying share
12:28 Sean’s 2026 outlook
13:07 Private marketplaces, guaranteed deals, and open marketplace
16:13 Invitation for listener feedback on the series

If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.

If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.

And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.

Kelly and Sean examine global trends in out-of-home advertising, why the U.S. market trails international growth, and which industries are driving recent spending increases.

Kelly and Sean begin the episode with a light conversation about long-running broadcast partnerships after a Western Australia news anchor duo set a Guinness World Record for more than 40 years and 10,000 broadcasts together.

The discussion then shifts to the topic of out-of-home advertising and why the format continues to generate mixed reactions among U.S. marketers despite strong growth in many international markets.

Using Guideline data, Sean explains how the U.S. market compares globally and why the share of out-of-home spending is significantly lower than in countries such as China and the United Kingdom. While the U.S. represents roughly 70% of total advertising spend in Guideline’s dataset, it accounts for only about 40% of out-of-home spending—suggesting the channel is more mature and widely adopted internationally.

Kelly and Sean also explore structural reasons behind the difference, including geography, population density, transportation habits, and the pace of digital billboard adoption.

Although out-of-home represents a smaller portion of the U.S. media mix, the format is still projected to grow in the coming year. The growth is being driven primarily by digital placements and by industries that benefit from location-based targeting.

Key topics include:

• The role of out-of-home advertising in the global media mix
• Why the U.S. market trails other regions in adoption
• Geographic and infrastructure factors affecting reach
• The importance of digital out-of-home inventory growth
• Industries currently increasing investment in the channel
• How localized advertising strategies influence spending

Sean also highlights emerging spend patterns from industries such as insurance and legal sports betting, which increasingly rely on geographic targeting and regulatory considerations when placing out-of-home campaigns.

If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.

If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.

And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.